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In 2001, the State of Rhode Island received national recognition from the Robert
Wood Johnson Foundation for encouraging school-based health care, under the
auspices of the foundation’s national Making the Grade program. Making the Grade
creates collaboration among community partners, with the goal of creating
comprehensive, school-based health centers. In 2000-01, the program gave more
than $500,000 to Rhode Island to expand the number of health centers in the
state’s elementary and secondary schools.
It was supposed to be seed money. The foundation
intended for the program to continue with backing from other sources,
particularly state government. In 2002, Rhode Island gave each center $70,000,
meeting those intentions. But no more. In both 2003 and 2004, by the time Rhode
Island had paid its share of Medicaid, there was nothing left over for Making
the Grade.
“We don’t fund it anymore,” says Jonathan Seamans
‘96 M.P.A. Until recently, he was a budget analyst in Rhode Island’s health
department -- specifically its family health division; he is now assistant
administrator for community and planning services. “There are just so many
dollars and it’s a toss-up what to keep
funding.”
Rhode Island -- like virtually every other
state, county, and municipality in America -- faces tough choices with its
budget. A few big-ticket obligations -- including federally mandated obligations
such as Medicaid -- siphon money away from discretionary spending. The federal
government, by most accounts, has decreased its subsidization of such programs,
or at least failed to keep pace with increasing demands. As a result,
administrators in state and local settings find themselves deciding between
doing what has to be done and what ought to be done to improve the
quality of life in the nation’s communities.
Robert O’Neill Jr. ‘74 M.P.A., executive director
of the International City/County Management Association, says that, if polled,
municipal officials would identify their biggest struggle as balancing declining
resources with increasing expense from federal mandates. Local administrators
“may or may not believe in the [mandated] programs,” says O’Neill, former
president of the National Academy of Public Administration and former
administrator of Fairfax County, Virginia, “but those programs are making local
issues harder to finance.”
Too often, O’Neill says, the federal government
mandates a program, but pushes the funding challenges onto the states and
localities. (Programs for students with special needs, for example, are financed
with local dollars, he says.) Then, in turn, Washington dictates or bars methods
of financing mandated programs. Electronic commerce is a current battleground.
“The clearest example is sales tax on the Internet,” O’Neill says. The federal
government allows interstate Internet commerce to go untaxed, even though, to
state and local managers, “it’s a major revenue source.”
Among major obligations of state and local
governments are the Big Three: pensions, Medicaid, and education. For Medicaid
and education, circumstances are growing dire and reform is in the air.
Medicaid is a mandated federal and state health
insurance program designed to provide access to health services for people whose
incomes fall below a certain level. It provides health care to women and
children who qualify for Aid to Families with Dependent Children and to the
impoverished elderly. Medicaid is now the greatest budgetary obligation facing
state governments, according to the National Association of State Budget
Officers, recently eclipsing elementary and secondary education.
Medicaid eligibility and
enrollment have expanded nationwide; enrollment rose from 33.2 million in 1996
to 42.7 million in 2003. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) indicates there
will be more than 50 million enrolled by the end of next year. State and county
governments, responsible for a cost share, are cutting other services or raising
taxes to compensate. In 2003, some New York counties were so hard hit they hiked
property taxes 20 percent or more to pay for Medicaid.
Education spending, on the other hand, is not
federally mandated; mandates exist at the state level. States and communities
have made local decisions about how much and in what ways to support education.
Unfortunately, though, education has been one of the budget lines that get cut
when federally mandated programs (such as Medicaid) strain the fiscal limits of
state and local governments.
By most measures, cuts in state and local
education budgets have contributed to diminished classroom performance. As
administrators have struggled to make ends meet, indices of students’ success
have dropped. The Bush Administration’s No Child Left Behind program is meant to
reverse that trend. It sets new federal guidelines for teacher and school
accountability and for poorly performing schools.
No Child Left Behind brings new levels of federal
influence to education funding. The program provides mandates -- higher test
scores and third-grade reading proficiency for all children, for example --
along with punitive sanctions for unmet goals. The program also provides
funding: 2004-05’s target allocation is $24.7 billion. Unfortunately, few
experts believe the supplemental funding is adequate. If they are right about
that, then No Child Left Behind represents a new mandated-but-underfunded
obligation for budget officials.
When program needs for education and Medicaid
are on the rise, but funding sources such as federal subsidy fail to meet the
needs, how do state and local governments expect to cope?
“There are no easy answers and no obvious
villains,” says Michael Wasylenko, senior associate dean of the Maxwell School.
Wasylenko is a professor of economics with particular expertise in the area of
state and local taxation.
He says prosperous times in the 1990s helped
delay the reckoning that state and local governments now face, as they scramble
to come up with matches for medical and other entitlement programs, and to cover
educational costs. They didn’t feel the crisis looming in a period of economic
prosperity.
“The thinking was, ÔWe don’t have to do
anything,’” Wasylenko says. “The states and localities did not see themselves in
a crisis, yet. They would live to see another day.”
But even in the new day, Wasylenko said there
is a lack of political will to make meaningful change, particularly in Medicaid.
“We have to get our arms around the health care sector,” he said. “If we don’t
want to contain costs, we’re going to have to raise taxes.”
A survey conducted by the National Conference of
State Legislatures shows that students at more than 27,500 schools -- more than
30 percent of all public schools -- fail math and reading. No Child Left Behind,
a comprehensive overhaul of the Elementary and Secondary Education Act of 1965,
is meant to close that achievement gap with accountability, flexibility, and
money.
No Child Left Behind asks states -- in exchange
for significant federal resources -- to develop standards to ensure every child
achieves at grade level and every classroom has a highly qualified teacher.
Education organizations are largely in favor of the goals of No Child Left
Behind, but there is contention regarding how those goals should be reached and
measured. The program’s reliance on strict performance and test requirements is
pedagogically controversial. But so too is the fiscal investment required to
meet the goals. Groups such as the National Association of State Boards of
Education and the Rural School and Community Trust say the federal dollars fall
short. The ideals are right-minded, but the goals are lofty and, in some cases,
set up a system to assure failure. The cost of meeting the standards, they
argue, exceeds what the federal government is willing to invest.
The amount of money is “not even in the ballpark”
of what’s needed for true school reform programs and accountability, says John
Yinger, Trustee Professor of Public Administration and Economics and director of
the Education Finance and Accountability Program. (Housed in Maxwell’s Center
for Policy Research, EFAP promotes research, education, and debate about
fundamental issues in the elementary and secondary school system in the United
States.) Yinger’s edited volume, Helping Children Left Behind: State Aid and
the Pursuit of Educational Equity, was published this year.
William Duncombe, professor of public
administration and associate director of EFAP, agrees. “The bottom line is this
is going to be expensive,” says Duncombe, who is the co-author of “Developing a
Financial Condition Indicator System for New York School Districts,” a
publication of the Education Finance Research Consortium. “You can’t simply put
pressure on large-city school districts to make meaningful change and expect
that it will improve [students’] ability to do subjects and learn materials,” he
says. “If we knew how to do this, we would have done it. . . . Pressure isn’t
going to solve it.”
According to Yinger and Duncombe, school aid in
general, whether it comes from the federal or state level, often does not take
into account the extra costs of educating the socially disadvantaged. They
believe that No Child Left Behind’s shortfalls will have a disproportionate,
negative impact on disadvantaged, needy districts.
A research report they published in July shows
what happens if statistically weighted pupil counts are used to determine
funding, rather than the ad hoc counts used in existing state aid programs.
According to that report, urban school districts with a high concentration of
disadvantaged students would receive far more aid and rich suburban districts
substantially less.
Yinger thinks programs that ignore the higher
costs of disadvantaged students are unfair. “It’s like running a race, a
100-yard dash, in which some runners carry extra weight,” he says. “Sometimes,
you don’t just judge at the finish line.”
As it stands, if a school receiving federal
Title I funding (for schools serving a high percentage of low-income families)
fails to meet the adequate yearly progress targets for two consecutive years or
more, the school is designated in need of improvement and faces consequences
including certain corrective actions and school restructuring.
When the broad-brush concepts of big federal plans
hit the local level, all sorts of nuances arise. Ross Rubenstein, an associate
professor of public administration who has published extensively on state and
local educational finance, worries not only about disadvantaged students, but
“children in the middle” -- those who don’t need remedial help but also don’t
fall into gifted programs. He says they tend to get lost in the push for greater
accountability and higher test scores. Schools tend to direct their funding
toward those programs first.
“The incentive and focus is to bring kids to
where you would get the biggest gains,” says Rubenstein, whose “Equality of
Public School Funding in the U.S.: A National Status Report,” appeared in
Public Administration Review in 2002.
It’s early for No Child Left Behind. It’s yet to
be seen how tough the tough choices will be. According to Yinger and Duncombe,
No Child Left Behind interferes with states that have been working on their own
reform programs, programs that Yinger and Duncombe view as more fair and
effective than sweeping federal requirements. Sometimes, states have been able
to incorporate parts of those programs into No Child Left Behind, but Duncombe
says for the most part they have been abandoned in favor of federal
measurements. Jerry Miner, professor
emeritus of economics and, like Yinger and Duncombe, a research associate in the
Center for Policy Research, says some states will be tempted to make the
ultimate tough choice: rejecting federal education aid because they don’t want
to deal with the cost of the mandates and regulations that flow from them.
Miner, who has studied education finance since the
1960s, says that’s one of the reasons the foundation of No Child Left Behind is
flawed. He says it fails in terms of funding and its effort to impose
accountability. It confuses educational concerns and legislative issues. “It’s
an enormously difficult problem,” Miner says.
Medicaid was adopted in 1965 as part of Title
XIX of the Social Security Act. Medicaid grew out of and replaced two earlier
federal grant programs to states that provided medical care to welfare
recipients and the aged. Each state designs and administers its own Medicaid
program under broad federal rules.
To be eligible for federal matching funds, states
must provide in- and outpatient hospital services, prenatal care, child
vaccines, physician services, nursing facility services for those over 21,
family planning services and supplies, rural health care clinic services, home
health care, laboratory and x-ray, nurse mid-wife services, and diagnostic
services for those under 21. Optional services include general diagnostic and
clinic services, prescription drugs, eyeglasses, transportation, rehabilitation
and home care for chronically ill patients.
Over the past three years, the scope of Medicaid
services has expanded to cover not only the poor, the elderly, and children, but
also working adults whose incomes don’t provide for private health insurance.
It subsidizes health care for one out of every five children and pays almost 50
percent of nursing home care.
Medicaid covered 42.7 million people in 2003
(about 15.7 percent of the population), compared with 30.8 million in 1998. And,
at the same time enrollment grew, the per-capita cost of health care in America
continued to rise. In 1965, when Medicaid was adopted, each person in the United
States spent, on average, $205 a year on health care; by 2002, that figure had
reached $5,440 (according to the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services).
Douglas Holtz-Eakin, director of the CBO and
Trustee Professor of Economics at the Maxwell School, says health care costs are
particularly troublesome from a budgetary vantage because as the population
lives longer, thanks to advances in medicine, there will be an even greater
financial demand with hard choices to make.
“The underlying source of growth of budgetary
programs is the rising cost of medical coverage in the United States,” says
Holtz-Eakin, who, before assuming the CBO post in 2003, served as chief
economist for the President’s Council of Economic Advisors. “It’s shared among
all of the entitlement programs. The key factor in health care spending is that
it’s risen 2.5 percent faster than income.”
In fiscal 2003, the federal contribution to
Medicaid was $161 billion; states contributed another $121 billion. Medicaid, on
average, is the largest source of federal grant support for the states,
representing 21 percent of the average state budget. The CBO projects that the
Medicaid budget will grow 9-10 percent per year during the next decade.
In spite of its cost, Medicaid has generally
fulfilled its social promise of providing low-cost health care to low-income
people, says Timothy Smeeding, Maxwell Professor of Public Policy, a professor
of economics and public administration, and director of the Center for Policy
Research. But Smeeding, whose recent books include Poor Kids in a Rich
Country and The Economics of an Aging Society, says there are
difficulties with the system, and that changes must be made to maintain “the
safety net for health care.” He believes the system is worth saving, and would
rather see increased funding than the loss of discretionary Medicaid benefits.
He thinks that broadening Medicaid eligibility -- and providing health services
for more people -- is a cause that, in the current state of things, government
should support. “Still,” he adds, “it’s amazing how well Medicaid does, given
the circumstances.”
Alan Sager ‘63 M.P.A. has spent a career
dealing with such circumstances. He was chief budget officer for more than 20
years for Erie County, New York, before retiring in 1997; Erie County includes
the city of Buffalo. Sager is still active in county government, working
part-time helping to draft legislation. He has watched the county try to come to
grips with its Medicaid spending, and seen budget surpluses exhausted. Erie
County may face a tax increase of as much as 11 percent this year. For a county
that budgeted frugally and was able to avoid tax levy increases for many years,
it’s a big bite to take, Sager says.
To avoid transferring pressure to property owners,
Sager says county officials are debating raising the sales tax rate to 9.25
percent. It is estimated that the tax increase will raise $110 million.
“Literally, every penny goes to Medicaid,” Sager says.
It would not be the first county in New York to
raise its sales tax to more than 9 percent. In October, Oneida County, just east
of Syracuse, went to 9.25 percent in search of revenue for mandates.
H. Woods Bowman ‘65 M.P.A./’69 Ph.D. (Econ.) is
the former chief financial officer of Cook County, Illinois, and a former member
of the Illinois House of Representatives; he is currently an associate professor
in the Public Services Graduate Program at DePaul University.
Advocacy groups, Bowman says, have been
aggressive in getting lawmakers to provide more Medicaid services and increase
eligibility guidelines. “It’s been demand-driven,” Bowman says. “It’s squeezed
discretionary spending out of the budget. Most states have cut higher education
money. The reason for that is colleges have alternative revenue sources; they
can always raise tuition. Lawmakers would rather protect Medicaid.”
In Illinois, there have also been cuts in spending
for the arts and recreation to make up for a $2.3 billion budget shortfall,
Bowman says. This will be the first year in more than a decade that the state
will not share nearly $3 million of its profits from off-track betting parlors
with park districts and attractions, including the Art Institute of Chicago. The
money instead will go to cover health care.
These are some of the CBO’s ideas to help
correct Medicaid funding: convert some or all of the funding to block grants,
effectively capping them; reduce mandatory benefits and restrict coverage
groups; stop granting waivers which states frequently use to extend coverage;
raise deductibles or co-payments; and encourage the use of lower-cost services.
Economic expansion would also provide a greater
base to cover entitlement programs, but there’s no easy fix there, either.
Holtz-Eakin has said that public policy should endeavor to “increase the
reservoir,” but he acknowledges there’s no magic elixir. “You have to give
things up in the present to devote to physical capital and new technologies,” he
says. And, it’s not clear that the economy could ever grow fast enough to keep
up with the demands of entitlement programs.
One way or another, Holtz-Eakin suggests,
changes have to be made regarding tax and spending policies if the demands of
the federal government on the states and localities regarding all mandated
programs, not just Medicaid and No Child Left Behind, are to be controlled.
“Unless taxation reaches levels that are
unprecedented in the United States, current spending policies will probably be
financially unsustainable over the next 50 years,” Holtz-Eakin’s budget outlook
indicates.
The challenge is in the choices. If taxation is
restricted to recent levels, there is little room for the growth of entitlement
spending. Economic growth, coupled with limits on non-mandated programs, isn’t
enough to bring the nation’s long-term fiscal position into balance. Constraints
on spending for Social Security, Medicare, and other programs, as well as
modifying the tax structure, or doing both, could minimize harmful economic
effects, but such notions are politically volatile.
The more lead time the public has to adjust to
such changes, the less disruptive they would be, a CBO report suggests.
“I can’t overstate the importance of a genuine
national coming-to-grips with the choices we’re going to have to make,” Holtz-Eakin
says.
Louise Hoffman Broach is a 1984 graduate of
SU’s Newhouse School of Public Communications (newspaper journalism) and College
of Arts and Sciences (nonviolent conflict and change). She is a reporter and
editor with The Citizen, Auburn, New York. Research assistance was provided by
Elizabeth Hacken, a 2004 Newhouse/Arts and Sciences graduate (newspaper/policy
studies) who also writes for The Citizen.
This article appeared
in the Fall 2004 print edition of Maxwell Perspective; ©
2004 Maxwell School of Syracuse University. To request a copy,
e-mail
dlcooke@maxwell.syr.edu.
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