BEGIN:VCALENDAR
VERSION:2.0
METHOD:PUBLISH
PRODID:-//Telerik Inc.//Sitefinity CMS 15.1//EN
BEGIN:VTIMEZONE
TZID:Eastern Standard Time
BEGIN:STANDARD
DTSTART:20251102T020000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;BYDAY=1SU;BYHOUR=2;BYMINUTE=0;BYMONTH=11
TZNAME:Eastern Standard Time
TZOFFSETFROM:-0400
TZOFFSETTO:-0500
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
DTSTART:20250301T020000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;BYDAY=2SU;BYHOUR=2;BYMINUTE=0;BYMONTH=3
TZNAME:Eastern Daylight Time
TZOFFSETFROM:-0500
TZOFFSETTO:-0400
END:DAYLIGHT
END:VTIMEZONE
BEGIN:VEVENT
DESCRIPTION:The Moynihan Institute's Study of Global Politics series welcom
 es Brett Ashley Leeds from Rice University. Leeds will present “A Separate
  Peace? Withdrawal Bargains and Civil War Intervention\,” co-written by Je
 sse C. Johnson (University of Texas - Austin)\, Scott Wolford (University 
 of Texas) and Conner Joyce (Rice University).Paper Abstract: Civil wars be
 come international conflicts when outside states provide support to rebel 
 groups.&nbsp\; Sometimes\, external intervention is driven by affinity for
  the rebel group and a desire to achieve the rebel group’s goals.&nbsp\; S
 ometimes\, however\, external intervention is driven by tensions on other 
 issues\, for example\, international rivalry\, territorial disputes\, or r
 egional leadership. We develop a game-theoretic model to understand the co
 nditions under which a government may break a rebel-external state coaliti
 on through bargaining on an international issue. We provide evidence of th
 e empirical relevance of our theory through statistical analysis of civil 
 conflicts\, along with an examination of early Libyan intervention in the 
 Chadian civil war. Our argument provides new insight on the connections be
 tween domestic and international conflict and the outcomes of internationa
 lized civil wars.Brett Ashley Leeds is Radoslav Tsanoff Professor of Polit
 ical Science at Rice University. She is currently co-editor-in-chief of In
 ternational Organization. Leeds’s research focuses on the design and effec
 ts of international agreements (particularly military alliances)\, and als
 o on connections between domestic politics and foreign policy.&nbsp\;She i
 s the co-author of Domestic Interests\, Democracy\, and Foreign Policy Cha
 nge (with Michaela Mattes\, Cambridge Elements in International Relations 
 series\, 2022).&nbsp\; In 2008\, Leeds received the Karl Deutsch Award fro
 m the International Studies Association\, which is presented annually to a
  scholar in international relations within ten years of Ph.D. who is judge
 d to have made the most significant contribution to the study of Internati
 onal Relations and Peace Research. In 2019\, Leeds won the Lifetime Achiev
 ement Award from the Conflict Processes Section of APSA in recognition of 
 scholarly contributions that have fundamentally improved the study of conf
 lict processes. She served as president of the International Studies Assoc
 iation during 2017-18\, president of the Peace Science Society during 2018
 -19\, and as chair of the Rice University Department of Political Science 
 from 2015-2025.
DTEND:20251017T173000Z
DTSTAMP:20260513T052007Z
DTSTART:20251017T160000Z
LOCATION:
SEQUENCE:0
SUMMARY:Ashley Leeds: A Separate Peace? Withdrawal Bargains and Civil War I
 ntervention
UID:RFCALITEM639142320075065796
X-ALT-DESC;FMTTYPE=text/html:<p>The Moynihan Institute's Study of Global Po
 litics series welcomes Brett Ashley Leeds from Rice University. Leeds will
  present “A Separate Peace? Withdrawal Bargains and Civil War Intervention
 \,” co-written by Jesse C. Johnson (University of Texas - Austin)\, Scott 
 Wolford (University of Texas) and Conner Joyce (Rice University).</p><p>Pa
 per Abstract: Civil wars become international conflicts when outside state
 s provide support to rebel groups.&nbsp\; Sometimes\, external interventio
 n is driven by affinity for the rebel group and a desire to achieve the re
 bel group’s goals.&nbsp\; Sometimes\, however\, external intervention is d
 riven by tensions on other issues\, for example\, international rivalry\, 
 territorial disputes\, or regional leadership. We develop a game-theoretic
  model to understand the conditions under which a government may break a r
 ebel-external state coalition through bargaining on an international issue
 . We provide evidence of the empirical relevance of our theory through sta
 tistical analysis of civil conflicts\, along with an examination of early 
 Libyan intervention in the Chadian civil war. Our argument provides new in
 sight on the connections between domestic and international conflict and t
 he outcomes of internationalized civil wars.</p><p><a target="_blank" href
 ="https://profiles.rice.edu/faculty/brett-ashley-leeds">Brett Ashley Leeds
 </a> is Radoslav Tsanoff Professor of Political Science at Rice University
 . She is currently co-editor-in-chief of <em>International Organization</e
 m>. Leeds’s research focuses on the design and effects of international ag
 reements (particularly military alliances)\, and also on connections betwe
 en domestic politics and foreign policy.&nbsp\;<span style="background-col
 or: rgba(0\, 0\, 0\, 0)\; color: inherit\; font-family: inherit\; font-siz
 e: inherit\; text-align: inherit\; text-transform: inherit\; word-spacing:
  normal\; caret-color: auto\; white-space: inherit">She is the co-author o
 f </span><em style="background-color: rgba(0\, 0\, 0\, 0)\; color: inherit
 \; font-family: inherit\; font-size: inherit\; text-align: inherit\; text-
 transform: inherit\; word-spacing: normal\; caret-color: auto\; white-spac
 e: inherit">Domestic Interests\, Democracy\, and Foreign Policy Change</em
 ><span style="background-color: rgba(0\, 0\, 0\, 0)\; color: inherit\; fon
 t-family: inherit\; font-size: inherit\; text-align: inherit\; text-transf
 orm: inherit\; word-spacing: normal\; caret-color: auto\; white-space: inh
 erit"> (with Michaela Mattes\, Cambridge Elements in International Relatio
 ns series\, 2022).&nbsp\; </span></p><p><span style="background-color: rgb
 a(0\, 0\, 0\, 0)\; color: inherit\; font-family: inherit\; font-size: inhe
 rit\; text-align: inherit\; text-transform: inherit\; word-spacing: normal
 \; caret-color: auto\; white-space: inherit">In 2008\, Leeds received the 
 Karl Deutsch Award from the International Studies Association\, which is p
 resented annually to a scholar in international relations within ten years
  of Ph.D. who is judged to have made the most significant contribution to 
 the study of International Relations and Peace Research. In 2019\, Leeds w
 on the Lifetime Achievement Award from the Conflict Processes Section of A
 PSA in recognition of scholarly contributions that have fundamentally impr
 oved the study of conflict processes. </span></p><p><span style="backgroun
 d-color: rgba(0\, 0\, 0\, 0)\; color: inherit\; font-family: inherit\; fon
 t-size: inherit\; text-align: inherit\; text-transform: inherit\; word-spa
 cing: normal\; caret-color: auto\; white-space: inherit">She served as pre
 sident of the International Studies Association during 2017-18\, president
  of the Peace Science Society during 2018-19\, and as chair of the Rice Un
 iversity Department of Political Science from 2015-2025.</span></p>
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR
