BEGIN:VCALENDAR VERSION:2.0 METHOD:PUBLISH PRODID:-//Telerik Inc.//Sitefinity CMS 14.4//EN BEGIN:VTIMEZONE TZID:Eastern Standard Time BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20231102T020000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;BYDAY=1SU;BYHOUR=2;BYMINUTE=0;BYMONTH=11 TZNAME:Eastern Standard Time TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 END:STANDARD BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20230301T020000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;BYDAY=2SU;BYHOUR=2;BYMINUTE=0;BYMONTH=3 TZNAME:Eastern Daylight Time TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 END:DAYLIGHT END:VTIMEZONE BEGIN:VEVENT DESCRIPTION:Trade\, Development and Political Economy and the Moynihan Inst itute of Global Affairs present: \;\nIbrahim Gunay\, Assistant Profess or of Economics at SUNY AlbanyInternational Trade and Political\nIndepende nce: \;Evidence from CataloniaThis\npaper analyzes the relationship be tween international trade and political\nindependence movements. In order to test this relationship I use a municipal level dataset from Catalonia. I assume\nthat secession of Catalonia\nfrom Spain would lead to higher sec toral trade\ncosts between these two regions\,\nand I compute the counterf actual effects of a\nsecession of Catalonia from Spain\non sectors in Cata lonia using a standard\ninternational trade model with data on bilateral\n trade flows and production. I find\naverage exposure to Catalan independen ce\nin each municipality and test the effect of\nthe variation of exposure \nto Catalan independence on pro-independence\nopinions. In order to forge a\ncausal link between these two variables\, I use\nexogenous changes of bilateral\nsectoral trade costs between Western European\ncountries as an instrument.\nThe estimation results show that\nmunicipalities with higher exposure to secession\nhave 9.2% lower pro-independence opinions\ncontroll ing for other factors.\nPrevious cross-country studies\, which do not take \ninto account heterogeneity\nwithin a region and endogeneity issues\, ind icate\nthat there need not be a causal\nlink between international trade a nd political\nseparatism. In this work\, by\nexploiting tools\nfrom intern ational trade models for effects of policy changes\, and using a dataset t hat allows for variation\namong agents within a region\, I\nfill the gap a nd show that exposure to\ninternational and interregional trade\ndoes matt er for explaining the variation of\npolitical opinions for separatism.Spon sored by the \;Trade Development and Political Economy Program \;a t the Moynihan Institute of Global Affairs \; For more information con tact:\nMengxiao Liu\, mliu34@syr.edu \nFor information on accessibility\, or to\nrequest accommodation\, please contact Marc Albert 315-315-9248. DTEND:20180305T220000Z DTSTAMP:20240329T075307Z DTSTART:20180305T210000Z LOCATION: SEQUENCE:0 SUMMARY:Ibrahim Gunay - TDPE UID:RFCALITEM638472811875853632 X-ALT-DESC;FMTTYPE=text/html:
Trade\, Development and Political Economy a nd the Moynihan Institute of Global Affairs present: \;
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This\npaper analyzes the relationship between international trade and political\nindependence movements. In ord er to test this relationship I use a municipal level dataset from Cataloni a. I assume\nthat secession of Catalonia\nfrom Spain would lead to higher sectoral trade\ncosts between these two regions\,\nand I compute the count erfactual effects of a\nsecession of Catalonia from Spain\non sectors in C atalonia using a standard\ninternational trade model with data on bilatera l\ntrade flows and production. I find\naverage exposure to Catalan indepen dence\nin each municipality and test the effect of\nthe variation of expos ure\nto Catalan independence on pro-independence\nopinions. In order to fo rge a\ncausal link between these two variables\, I use\nexogenous changes of bilateral\nsectoral trade costs between Western European\ncountries as an instrument.\nThe estimation results show that\nmunicipalities with high er exposure to secession\nhave 9.2% lower pro-independence opinions\ncontr olling for other factors.\nPrevious cross-country studies\, which do not t ake\ninto account heterogeneity\nwithin a region and endogeneity issues\, indicate\nthat there need not be a causal\nlink between international trad e and political\nseparatism. In this work\, by\nexploiting tools\nfrom int ernational trade models for effects of policy changes\, and using a datase t that allows for variation\namong agents within a region\, I\nfill the ga p and show that exposure to\ninternational and interregional trade\ndoes m atter for explaining the variation of\npolitical opinions for separatism.< /p>
Sponsored by the \;Trade Development and Political E conomy Program \;at the Moynihan Institute of Global Affairs&n bsp\;
For more information contact:\nMengxiao Liu\, mliu34@syr.edu
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For informati on on accessibility\, or to\nrequest accommodation\, please contact Marc A lbert 315-315-9248.
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