BEGIN:VCALENDAR VERSION:2.0 METHOD:PUBLISH PRODID:-//Telerik Inc.//Sitefinity CMS 15.1//EN BEGIN:VTIMEZONE TZID:Eastern Standard Time BEGIN:STANDARD DTSTART:20251102T020000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;BYDAY=1SU;BYHOUR=2;BYMINUTE=0;BYMONTH=11 TZNAME:Eastern Standard Time TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 END:STANDARD BEGIN:DAYLIGHT DTSTART:20250301T020000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;BYDAY=2SU;BYHOUR=2;BYMINUTE=0;BYMONTH=3 TZNAME:Eastern Daylight Time TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 END:DAYLIGHT END:VTIMEZONE BEGIN:VEVENT DESCRIPTION:The Moynihan Institute’s program for Trade\, Development and Po litical Economy welcomes Peter Schott from Yale University.We examine U.S. workers’ earnings after trade liberalization with China using a novel app roach that considers industry and geographic exposure to the shock both di rectly and via input-output linkages. In contrast with the literature\, we find evidence of relative earnings gains from the “China Shock” among wor kers initially employed outside manufacturing due to increased competition in input markets. Workers initially employed in manufacturing\, by contra st\, exhibit substantial and persistent relative declines in earnings that are exacerbated by downstream exposure. Across these estimates\, we find that spatial exposure is more influential for workers’ earnings outcomes t han industry exposure.Peter Schott is the Juan Trippe Professor of Interna tional Economics at Yale University. His research focuses on how firms and workers respond to globalization. His most recent projects examine the de cline of U.S. manufacturing employment during the 2000s\, the relative exp ort quality of developing versus developed economies\, and the relationshi p between trade policy and firm productivity. DTEND:20241118T220500Z DTSTAMP:20260512T005603Z DTSTART:20241118T204500Z LOCATION: SEQUENCE:0 SUMMARY:To Find Relative Earnings Gains After the China Shock\, Look Upstre am and Outside Manufacturing UID:RFCALITEM639141297639890464 X-ALT-DESC;FMTTYPE=text/html:
The Moynihan Institute’s program for Trad e\, Development and Political Economy welcomes Peter Schott from Yale Univ ersity.

We examine U.S. workers’ earnings afte r trade liberalization with China using a novel approach that considers in dustry and geographic exposure to the shock both directly and via input-ou tput linkages. In contrast with the literature\, we find evidence of relat ive earnings gains from the “China Shock” among workers initially employed outside manufacturing due to increased competition in input markets. Work ers initially employed in manufacturing\, by contrast\, exhibit substantia l and persistent relative declines in earnings that are exacerbated by dow nstream exposure. Across these estimates\, we find that spatial exposure i s more influential for workers’ earnings outcomes than industry exposure.< strong>

Peter Schott is the Juan Trippe Pr ofessor of International Economics at Yale University. His research focuse s on how firms and workers respond to globalization. His most recent proje cts examine the decline of U.S. manufacturing employment during the 2000s\ , the relative export quality of developing versus developed economies\, a nd the relationship between trade policy and firm productivity.

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