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DESCRIPTION:Trade Development and Political Economy Group Present: Supply C
hain Uncetainty As A Trade BarrierSpeaker: Valentina Kozlova (Assistant Pr
ofessor of Economics\, SUNY - Oswego)Authors: Don Clark\, Valentina Kozlov
a and Georg SchaurAbstract: This paper investigates the impact of supply c
hain uncertainty on trade. Importers hold safety stock to hedge against de
lays in delivery. An increase in supply chain uncertainty raises safety st
ocks\, increases inventory holding costs\, and reduces imports from locati
ons with high delivery time uncertainty. Supply chain uncertainty is measu
red using detailed data on actual and expected arrival times of vessels at
U.S. ports. Delivery delays are found to significantly reduce trade volum
es in the same manner as other nontariff barriers. A 10 percent increase i
n supply-chain uncertainty reduces imports by as much as 4.2 percent. Meas
uring supply chain uncertainty costs can help us assess both costs associa
ted with shipment delays and the economic impact of policies intended to f
acilitate trade such as streamlined cargo screening\, improved customs pro
cedures\, and investment in port infrastructure.Short Bio: Valentina Kozlo
va is Assistant Professor of Economics at SUNY-Oswego. She specializes in
International Trade.Monday\, October 14\, 20134:00 pm
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SUMMARY:Trade Development and Political Economy Group Present: Supply Chain
Uncetainty As A Trade Barrier
UID:RFCALITEM638472970567701594
X-ALT-DESC;FMTTYPE=text/html:Trade Development and Political Economy Group
Present: Supply Chain Uncetainty As A Trade Barrier
Speaker: Valent
ina Kozlova
(Assistant Professor of Economics\, SUNY - Oswego)
Authors: Don Clark\, Valentina Kozlova and Georg Schaur
Abstract: T
his paper investigates the impact of supply chain uncertainty on trade. Im
porters hold safety stock to hedge against delays in delivery. An increase
in supply chain uncertainty raises safety stocks\, increases inventory ho
lding costs\, and reduces imports from locations with high delivery time u
ncertainty. Supply chain uncertainty is measured using detailed data on ac
tual and expected arrival times of vessels at U.S. ports. Delivery delays
are found to significantly reduce trade volumes in the same manner as othe
r nontariff barriers. A 10 percent increase in supply-chain uncertainty re
duces imports by as much as 4.2 percent. Measuring supply chain uncertaint
y costs can help us assess both costs associated with shipment delays and
the economic impact of policies intended to facilitate trade such as strea
mlined cargo screening\, improved customs procedures\, and investment in p
ort infrastructure.
Short Bio: Valentina Kozlova is Assistant Profe
ssor of Economics at SUNY-Oswego. She specializes in International Trade.<
br>
Monday\, October 14\, 2013
4:00 pm
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