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DTSTART:20251102T020000
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DESCRIPTION:The Moynihan Institute's Trade\, Development and Political Econ
 omy Series presents\, Mine Z. Senses\, Associate Professor of Internationa
 l Economics\, Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies.&nbsp
 \;In this paper\, we empirically assess the causal links between trade and
  individual income risk and study the role that human capital plays in thi
 s relationship using a rich\, worker-level\, longitudinal data set from Ge
 rmany spanning 1976 to 2012. Our estimates suggest substantial heterogenei
 ty in labor income risk across workers in different entry cohorts and acro
 ss workers with different levels of industry- and occupation-specific huma
 n capital. Our findings suggest that within-industry changes in imports an
 d exports are causally related to income risk: Imports increase risk and e
 xports decrease risk\, and they do so in an economically significant manne
 r. Importantly\, we find there to be a complex interplay between human cap
 ital and the linkage between trade and risk: While\, on average\, individu
 als with higher levels of industry- or occupation-specific human capital e
 xperience lower income risk\, a given increase in net-imports exposure in 
 an industry increases risk for workers with higher levels of industry tenu
 re more than it does for workers with lower levels of industry tenure.&nbs
 p\;Mine Z. Senses is an Associate Professor of International Economics in 
 the School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS) at Johns Hopkins Unive
 rsity. Her current research focuses on the consequences of globalization o
 n the labor market\, with emphasis on quantifying the heterogeneous costs 
 and benefits experienced by different segments of the population. Her rese
 arch has been published in numerous journals including the&nbsp\;Review of
  Economic Studies\,&nbsp\;Journal of International Economics\,&nbsp\;Ameri
 can Economic Review&nbsp\;and the&nbsp\;Canadian Journal of Economics. She
  hold a BA from the Middle East Technical University and a PhD from the Un
 iversity of Michigan.
DTEND:20220926T211500Z
DTSTAMP:20260513T111634Z
DTSTART:20220926T194500Z
LOCATION:
SEQUENCE:0
SUMMARY:Trade\, Human Capital\, and Income Risk
UID:RFCALITEM639142533942464548
X-ALT-DESC;FMTTYPE=text/html:<p>The Moynihan Institute's Trade\, Developmen
 t and Political Economy Series presents\, Mine Z. Senses\, Associate Profe
 ssor of International Economics\, Johns Hopkins School of Advanced Interna
 tional Studies.&nbsp\;In this paper\, we empirically assess the causal lin
 ks between trade and individual income risk and study the role that human 
 capital plays in this relationship using a rich\, worker-level\, longitudi
 nal data set from Germany spanning 1976 to 2012. Our estimates suggest sub
 stantial heterogeneity in labor income risk across workers in different en
 try cohorts and across workers with different levels of industry- and occu
 pation-specific human capital. Our findings suggest that within-industry c
 hanges in imports and exports are causally related to income risk: Imports
  increase risk and exports decrease risk\, and they do so in an economical
 ly significant manner. Importantly\, we find there to be a complex interpl
 ay between human capital and the linkage between trade and risk: While\, o
 n average\, individuals with higher levels of industry- or occupation-spec
 ific human capital experience lower income risk\, a given increase in net-
 imports exposure in an industry increases risk for workers with higher lev
 els of industry tenure more than it does for workers with lower levels of 
 industry tenure.&nbsp\;</p><p>Mine Z. Senses is an Associate Professor of 
 International Economics in the School of Advanced International Studies (S
 AIS) at Johns Hopkins University. Her current research focuses on the cons
 equences of globalization on the labor market\, with emphasis on quantifyi
 ng the heterogeneous costs and benefits experienced by different segments 
 of the population. Her research has been published in numerous journals in
 cluding the&nbsp\;<em>Review of Economic Studies\,&nbsp\;Journal of Intern
 ational Economics\,&nbsp\;American Economic Review</em>&nbsp\;and the&nbsp
 \;<em>Canadian Journal of Economics. </em>She hold a BA from the Middle Ea
 st Technical University and a PhD from the University of Michigan.</p><p><
 /p>
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