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DESCRIPTION:Moynihan Institute of Global AffairsTrade\, Development and Pol
 itical EconomypresentPeter MorrowAssociate ProfessorUniversity of Toronto 
 Department of EconomicsThe Long-Run Labor\nMarket Effects of the Canada-U.
 S. Free Trade Agreement \n\nThis paper assesses the long-run effects of th
 e 1988\nCanada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement (CUSFTA) on the Canadian labor ma
 rket using\nmatched longitudinal administrative data for the years 1984-20
 04. The authors\nsimultaneously examine the labor market effects of increa
 sed export expansion\nand import competition\, generally finding adverse e
 ffects of Canadian tariff\ncuts and favorable effects of U.S. cuts\, thoug
 h both effects are small. Workers\ninitially employed in industries that e
 xperienced larger Canadian tariff\nconcessions exhibit a heightened probab
 ility of layoffs at large firms\, but\nlittle impact on long-run cumulativ
 e earnings. Lower earnings and years worked\nat the initial employer are o
 ffset by gains in other manufacturing industries\,\nconstruction\, and ser
 vices. Canadian workers quickly transitioned from\nindustries facing impor
 t competition\, with the majority of industry adjustment\noccurring among 
 new entrants to the labor market.\n\n\n\n\n\n \n\n\n\nPeter\nMorrow is an 
 Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Toronto and\nthe Co-
 Editor of the Canadian Journal of Economics. He currently teaches\nundergr
 aduate and graduate courses in the Department of Economics at the\nUnivers
 ity of Toronto and has previously taught at the Munk School of Global\nAff
 airs and Public Policy at the University of Toronto and has consulted for\
 nGlobal Affairs Canada. His work in the field of international trade has\n
 appeared in The Review of Economic Studies\, The Journal of Development\nE
 conomics\, The Journal of International Economics\, and the Canadian Journ
 al of\nEconomics. He has also served as the inaugural Data Editor for the 
 Canadian\nJournal of Economics and has been a visiting professor at UC Ber
 keley. He\nreceived his Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Michigan
  and his\nundergraduate degrees in Economics and Latin from Boston College
 .\n\n\n\nFor more information\,&nbsp\;please contact Ryan Monarch\, rpmona
 rc@syr.edu. For accessibility accommodations\, please&nbsp\;contact jmhora
 n@syr.edu
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DTSTAMP:20260519T021033Z
DTSTART:20211011T200000Z
LOCATION:
SEQUENCE:0
SUMMARY:Peter Morrow: The Long-Run Labor Market Effects of the Canada-U.S. 
 Free Trade Agreement
UID:RFCALITEM639147390335552720
X-ALT-DESC;FMTTYPE=text/html:<p>Moynihan Institute of Global Affairs</p><p>
 Trade\, Development and Political Economy</p><p><br></p><p>present</p><p><
 br></p><p><b>Peter Morrow</b></p><p>Associate Professor</p><p>University o
 f Toronto Department of Economics</p><p><b><br></b></p><p><b>The Long-Run 
 Labor\nMarket Effects of the Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement</b><br></p><
 p> \n\n</p>This paper assesses the long-run effects of the 1988\nCanada-U.
 S. Free Trade Agreement (CUSFTA) on the Canadian labor market using\nmatch
 ed longitudinal administrative data for the years 1984-2004. The authors\n
 simultaneously examine the labor market effects of increased export expans
 ion\nand import competition\, generally finding adverse effects of Canadia
 n tariff\ncuts and favorable effects of U.S. cuts\, though both effects ar
 e small. Workers\ninitially employed in industries that experienced larger
  Canadian tariff\nconcessions exhibit a heightened probability of layoffs 
 at large firms\, but\nlittle impact on long-run cumulative earnings. Lower
  earnings and years worked\nat the initial employer are offset by gains in
  other manufacturing industries\,\nconstruction\, and services. Canadian w
 orkers quickly transitioned from\nindustries facing import competition\, w
 ith the majority of industry adjustment\noccurring among new entrants to t
 he labor market.<p>\n\n</p><p>\n\n</p><p>\n\n<br></p><p> \n\n</p>\n\nPeter
 \nMorrow is an Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Toron
 to and\nthe Co-Editor of the Canadian Journal of Economics. He currently t
 eaches\nundergraduate and graduate courses in the Department of Economics 
 at the\nUniversity of Toronto and has previously taught at the Munk School
  of Global\nAffairs and Public Policy at the University of Toronto and has
  consulted for\nGlobal Affairs Canada. His work in the field of internatio
 nal trade has\nappeared in The Review of Economic Studies\, The Journal of
  Development\nEconomics\, The Journal of International Economics\, and the
  Canadian Journal of\nEconomics. He has also served as the inaugural Data 
 Editor for the Canadian\nJournal of Economics and has been a visiting prof
 essor at UC Berkeley. He\nreceived his Ph.D. in Economics from the Univers
 ity of Michigan and his\nundergraduate degrees in Economics and Latin from
  Boston College.\n\n<p>\n\n<br></p><p>For more information\,&nbsp\;please 
 contact Ryan Monarch\, <a href="mailto:rpmonarc@syr.edu">rpmonarc@syr.edu<
 /a>. For accessibility accommodations\, please&nbsp\;contact jmhoran@syr.e
 du<br></p>
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