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DESCRIPTION:The Moynihan Institute's new series\, Study of Global Politics\
 , welcomes&nbsp\;Alexandra Blackman of Cornell University. Do candidates w
 ho share a tribal identity with voters outperform candidates who do not? C
 onsiderable research has examined this question in the Middle East\, but i
 n many of these key cases autocratic regimes supported political instituti
 ons that reinforced tribal ties\, making it hard to discern the independen
 t effect of tribal identity on voter behavior.We revisit this question in 
 (at the time) democratic Tunisia\, where post-independence governments tri
 ed to&nbsp\;uproot&nbsp\;tribal identity\, making it a “least likely” case
  to uncover tribal influence on election outcomes. To estimate the effect 
 of tribal influence on voting\, we match an historical dictionary of Tunis
 ian tribes to surnames from the universe of both registered voters and can
 didates from Tunisia's recent local elections (2018). We find preliminary 
 evidence consistent with the claim that tribal affiliations do “matter”: l
 ists whose candidates share a tribal identity with the underlying populati
 on consistently outperform lists who do not share this identity. Our work 
 suggests that despite decades of policies designed to suppress tribes\, tr
 ibal identity exerted a measurable effect on local politics during a perio
 d of democratic transition.Alexandra Blackman is an assistant professor in
  Cornell University’s Department of Government. Her research interests inc
 lude the relationship between political regimes and religious institutions
 \, as well as the development of and appeal to religious identities in the
  political sphere\, with a regional focus on the Middle East. Her work has
  been published or is forthcoming in\, among others\, the Journal of Polit
 ics\, Political Behavior\, and the Journal of Peace Research.
DTEND:20231110T183000Z
DTSTAMP:20260512T131639Z
DTSTART:20231110T170000Z
LOCATION:
SEQUENCE:0
SUMMARY:Alexandra Blackman|Tribal Voting in New Democracies: Evidence from 
 6 Million Tunisian Voter Records
UID:RFCALITEM639141741996422442
X-ALT-DESC;FMTTYPE=text/html:<p>The Moynihan Institute's new series\, Study
  of Global Politics\, welcomes&nbsp\;Alexandra Blackman of Cornell Univers
 ity. </p><p>Do candidates who share a tribal identity with voters outperfo
 rm candidates who do not? Considerable research has examined this question
  in the Middle East\, but in many of these key cases autocratic regimes su
 pported political institutions that reinforced tribal ties\, making it har
 d to discern the independent effect of tribal identity on voter behavior.<
 /p><p>We revisit this question in (at the time) democratic Tunisia\, where
  post-independence governments tried to&nbsp\;<em>uproot</em>&nbsp\;tribal
  identity\, making it a “least likely” case to uncover tribal influence on
  election outcomes. To estimate the effect of tribal influence on voting\,
  we match an historical dictionary of Tunisian tribes to surnames from the
  universe of both registered voters and candidates from Tunisia's recent l
 ocal elections (2018). </p><p>We find preliminary evidence consistent with
  the claim that tribal affiliations do “matter”: lists whose candidates sh
 are a tribal identity with the underlying population consistently outperfo
 rm lists who do not share this identity. Our work suggests that despite de
 cades of policies designed to suppress tribes\, tribal identity exerted a 
 measurable effect on local politics during a period of democratic transiti
 on.<br><br>Alexandra Blackman is an assistant professor in Cornell Univers
 ity’s Department of Government. Her research interests include the relatio
 nship between political regimes and religious institutions\, as well as th
 e development of and appeal to religious identities in the political spher
 e\, with a regional focus on the Middle East. Her work has been published 
 or is forthcoming in\, among others\, the Journal of Politics\, Political 
 Behavior\, and the Journal of Peace Research.</p>
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