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DESCRIPTION:Moynihan Institute of Global AffairsSovereignty\, Order and Con
 flictpresentFrank&nbsp\;L.Smith IIIU.S. Naval War College \n\nTechnology H
 ype and International Security \n\nQuantum computers. Cyber bombs. Artific
 ial\nintelligence and killer robots. These technologies are often describe
 d as\nrevolutionary innovations that will disrupt modern warfare. Granted\
 , hyperbole\nis also contested as exaggerated and inaccurate. Yet the effe
 cts of technology\nhype on international security are largely unexamined. 
 In this paper\, I explain\nhow discourse that evokes exceptional expectati
 ons about future technologies\ncan influence international security\, rega
 rdless of whether the hype is\naccurate or not. To show how\, I extend the
  logic of offense-defense theory\,\ntechnological opportunism\, and techno
 logical symbolism\, particularly as they\nrelate to preventive war\, arms 
 races\, and secrecy. I also examine empirical\nevidence about hype over qu
 antum technologies\, military cyber\, and artificial\nintelligence. I find
  that this discourse fuels international conflict more than\ncooperation. 
 Not all technology hype is accepted by audiences in the national\nsecurity
  community\, but accepted hype tends to be destabilizing.&nbsp\;&nbsp\; \n
 \nFrank\nL. Smith III&nbsp\;is\na Professor and Director of the Cyber &amp
 \; Innovation Policy Institute at the\nU.S. Naval War College.&nbsp\;He is
  also a\nNon-Resident Fellow with the United States Studies Centre at the 
 University of\nSydney. His interdisciplinary research examines how ideas a
 bout\ntechnology—especially bad ideas—influence national security and inte
 rnational\nrelations. Previous work includes his book\,&nbsp\;American\nBi
 odefense\, as well as articles published in&nbsp\;Security Studies\,&nbsp\
 ;Social\nStudies of Science\,&nbsp\;Security Dialogue\,&nbsp\;Health Secur
 ity\,&nbsp\;Asian\nSecurity\, and&nbsp\;The Lancet.&nbsp\;He\nhas a PhD in
  political science and a BS in biological chemistry\, both from the\nUnive
 rsity of Chicago.&nbsp\;&nbsp\;\n\nFor more information\, contact Ryan Gri
 ffiths\, rgriff01@syr.edu. For accessibility arrangements\, contact jmhora
 n@syr.edu \n\n
DTEND:20211108T173000Z
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DTSTART:20211108T160000Z
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SUMMARY:Frank Smith: Technology Hype and International Security
UID:RFCALITEM639089174058962923
X-ALT-DESC;FMTTYPE=text/html:<p>Moynihan Institute of Global Affairs</p><p>
 Sovereignty\, Order and Conflict</p><p><br></p><p>present</p><p><br></p><p
 ><b>Frank&nbsp\;L.Smith III</b></p><p>U.S. Naval War College</p><p><br></p
 ><p> \n\n</p><b>Technology Hype and International Security</b><p> \n\n</p>
 <p>Quantum computers. Cyber bombs. Artificial\nintelligence and killer rob
 ots. These technologies are often described as\nrevolutionary innovations 
 that will disrupt modern warfare. Granted\, hyperbole\nis also contested a
 s exaggerated and inaccurate. Yet the effects of technology\nhype on inter
 national security are largely unexamined. In this paper\, I explain\nhow d
 iscourse that evokes exceptional expectations about future technologies\nc
 an influence international security\, regardless of whether the hype is\na
 ccurate or not. To show how\, I extend the logic of offense-defense theory
 \,\ntechnological opportunism\, and technological symbolism\, particularly
  as they\nrelate to preventive war\, arms races\, and secrecy. I also exam
 ine empirical\nevidence about hype over quantum technologies\, military cy
 ber\, and artificial\nintelligence. I find that this discourse fuels inter
 national conflict more than\ncooperation. Not all technology hype is accep
 ted by audiences in the national\nsecurity community\, but accepted hype t
 ends to be destabilizing.&nbsp\;&nbsp\;</p><p><br></p><p> \n\n</p><b>Frank
 \nL. Smith III</b>&nbsp\;is\na Professor and Director of the Cyber &amp\; 
 Innovation Policy Institute at the\nU.S. Naval War College.&nbsp\;He is al
 so a\nNon-Resident Fellow with the United States Studies Centre at the Uni
 versity of\nSydney. His interdisciplinary research examines how ideas abou
 t\ntechnology—especially bad ideas—influence national security and interna
 tional\nrelations. Previous work includes his book\,&nbsp\;<i>American\nBi
 odefense</i>\, as well as articles published in&nbsp\;<i>Security Studies<
 /i>\,&nbsp\;<i>Social\nStudies of Science</i>\,&nbsp\;<i>Security Dialogue
 </i>\,&nbsp\;<i>Health Security</i>\,&nbsp\;<i>Asian\nSecurity</i>\, and&n
 bsp\;<i>The Lancet</i>.&nbsp\;He\nhas a PhD in political science and a BS 
 in biological chemistry\, both from the\nUniversity of Chicago.&nbsp\;&nbs
 p\;<p>\n\n<br></p><p>For more information\, contact Ryan Griffiths\, <a hr
 ef="mailto:rgriff01@syr.edu">rgriff01@syr.edu</a>. For accessibility arran
 gements\, contact <a href="mailto:jmhoran@syr.edu">jmhoran@syr.edu</a> </p
 ><p><br></p><p><br></p><p>\n\n</p>
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