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DTSTART:20251102T020000
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DESCRIPTION:Celeste Carruthers\, William F. Fox Distinguished Professor of 
 Labor Economics at the University of Tennessee\, Knoxville will present\, 
 “Post-COVID Labor Market Shortages and College Enrollment\,” as part of th
 e CPR Seminar Series.&nbsp\;Abstract: There were 1.1 million fewer student
 s enrolled in U.S. higher education in Fall 2022 than Fall 2019. During th
 e same period of time\, the labor market grew increasingly favorable to yo
 ung workers without college. I examine the relationship between these patt
 erns using state administrative data connecting K-12\, higher education\, 
 and workforce outcomes for Tennessee 12th grade classes of 2009 - 2022. I 
 construct labor market indicators that would have been salient to 12th gra
 de students and representative of their local employment opportunities: Jo
 b mobility for the most recent cohort from the same school\, and in some m
 odels\, from the same career and technical education focal area. I find th
 at labor tightness may have explained 28% of the fall in college going bet
 ween 2019-20 and 2021-22 and 18% of the fall in 2-year college going. Esti
 mated effects are concentrated among students with low or missing ACT scor
 es.
DTEND:20260122T214500Z
DTSTAMP:20260509T145722Z
DTSTART:20260122T203000Z
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SUMMARY:CPR Seminar Series: Celeste Carruthers\, The University of Tennesse
 e\, Knoxville
UID:RFCALITEM639139210422653089
X-ALT-DESC;FMTTYPE=text/html:<p data-placeholder="Title (100 character maxi
 mum)" data-sf-tooltip="input-title">Celeste Carruthers\, William F. Fox Di
 stinguished Professor of Labor Economics at the University of Tennessee\, 
 Knoxville will present\, “Post-COVID Labor Market Shortages and College En
 rollment\,” as part of the CPR Seminar Series.&nbsp\;</p><p data-placehold
 er="Title (100 character maximum)" data-sf-tooltip="input-title"><strong>A
 bstract</strong>: There were 1.1 million fewer students enrolled in U.S. h
 igher education in Fall 2022 than Fall 2019. During the same period of tim
 e\, the labor market grew increasingly favorable to young workers without 
 college. I examine the relationship between these patterns using state adm
 inistrative data connecting K-12\, higher education\, and workforce outcom
 es for Tennessee 12th grade classes of 2009 - 2022. I construct labor mark
 et indicators that would have been salient to 12th grade students and repr
 esentative of their local employment opportunities: Job mobility for the m
 ost recent cohort from the same school\, and in some models\, from the sam
 e career and technical education focal area. I find that labor tightness m
 ay have explained 28% of the fall in college going between 2019-20 and 202
 1-22 and 18% of the fall in 2-year college going. Estimated effects are co
 ncentrated among students with low or missing ACT scores.</p>
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