Dimitar Gueorguiev to Discuss Turning Out in India: Testing the Anti-Incumbency Hypothesis
On Tuesday,
February 28th, the South Asia Center is pleased to host Dimitar
Gueorguiev to discuss Turning Out in India: Testing the Anti-Incumbency
Hypothesis. Dimitar Gueorguiev is an Assistant Professor of Political Science
at Syracuse University. The lecture will take place in 341 Eggers Hall at
12:30PM.
Gueorguiev will discuss how studies of congressional elections in the
United States suggest that high voter turnout is usually a bad sign for
incumbents. In this study, Gueorguiev examines the pattern on parliamentary
elections in India where staggered election schedules allow us to disentangle
turnout from election outcomes. Taking advantage of election timing across
different states he shows that high turnout significantly reduces the
likelihood that an incumbent candidate is elected and that this effect is more
pronounced in elections occurring later in the election schedule.