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Center for Policy Research

Working Paper

Rising Waters, Falling Taxes: The Impact of Hurricane Sandy on Property Tax Assessments in New York City

Wei Guo, Qing Miao, Yusun Kim, and Yilin Hou

C.P.R. Working Paper No. 275

September 2025

Yilin Hou headshot

Yilin Hou


Abstract

Climate disasters pose fiscal challenges for local governments by increasing recovery costs and demand for property tax relief. Homeowners with or without property damage face tax burdens that may not match changes to their property value. This study examines the impact of Hurricane Sandy on property values and tax assessments in New York City.

Using a difference-in-differences approach and comprehensive property-level data, we find that (1) inundated properties faced greater tax burdens due to limited declines in taxable value; (2) unaffected properties in flood zones saw tax burden increases due to declining market values and unchanged taxable values; and (3) higher-valued homes bore larger tax burden hikes. These uneven consequences stem largely from constrained assessment caps and selective tax relief measures, with strong implications for reforming property tax administration and design.

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