David Popp, Caroline Rapking Faculty Scholar in Public Administration and Policy and co-author of a 2020 paper on the employment effects of the Obama-era spending on green job creation, discounted the notion of creating one million new auto manufacturing jobs.
University Professor James B. Steinberg says there are opportunities for cooperation, but if the deep diagnosis is that China is challenging the U.S., it would be very hard to sustain and insulate areas of cooperation from the deeper conflict.
"It might make it a little bit easier for John Katko to get the ear of the president if there's a major piece of legislation being negotiated," Reeher says. "We may be on his radar when he's thinking about the problems of small to mid-size cities. Are they getting the help from the federal government that they need? I think that is going to be a good thing for this area."
Existing U.S. trade agreements may constrain President Joe Biden’s ability to deliver on his promise to spend $400 billion over four years on American-made goods, says Daniel McDowell, associate professor of political science.
"Wages in solar and wind could increase if demand increased, at least initially," says Professor David Popp, who wrote about the impact of fiscal policy on green jobs in a working paper in June 2020. "But higher wages would also attract more workers to develop the skills to work in wind and solar, so the increase need not be permanent."
Professor Grant Reeher says Sen. Chuck Schumer’s rise to the majority leader role would likely have "some beneficial effect" in terms of money flowing to his home state, though he suggests that could be tempered by how closely divided the Senate is.